The global fixed income market, at over $130 trillion outstanding, is entering a new era. After more than a decade of ultra-low yields and central bank dominance, the post pandemic reset has restored bonds as a central source of income, diversification, and strategic allocation. Yields across sovereigns, corporates, and emerging markets remain materially higher than in the 2010s, offering investors compelling entry points with more attractive risk-adjusted returns relative to equities.
The U.S. Treasury market, now above $27 trillion, anchors global pricing but faces persistent supply challenges as fiscal deficits remain above 6% of GDP. Corporate credit, by contrast, benefits from deleveraged balance sheets, with investment-grade spreads near 110 bps over Treasuries and defaults in high yield contained at around 2.5%. Emerging markets add diversification, with local yields in the 6–9% range and idiosyncratic opportunities in reform-driven economies. For investors, the strategic takeaway is clear: bonds are back, not merely as defensive ballast but as active return generators. The challenge is to calibrate exposures across sovereigns, corporates, and alternatives while managing liquidity and structural risks. We believe fixed income allocations will regain primacy in global portfolios, marking the most durable renaissance in the asset class since the Global Financial Crisis.